Croaker
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To me, that stuff is fantasy. I don't mean it's not going to happen, but it probably won't play any role in my work. It seems that CMOS is such a juggernaut that any interesting advances are going to be ignored unless they are totally amazing or critical. Even if there is an amazing breakthrough, the market and applications would need a long time to develop.
As for the CMOS lifespan, it's always, and I suspect will continue to be, a 'topic to ponder' at any conference. If I wrote for an electronics mag and couldn't think of anything to write, I'd pull out the tried and true, "Is this the end for CMOS?".
Is the FinFET considered to be traditional CMOS? I'd say the construction and operating principles are different enough from a MOSFET to be its own device.
It's true that nothing lasts forever and CMOS is no exception.
I don't know a lot about quantum computing. They have a pretty good research institute devoted to that in Waterloo, ON. It's run by one of Stephen Hawking's former students. Honestly, the idea of doing more of what we're doing isn't that exciting to me. Computers compute, and only in a straightforward way. Sure, they are great tools, but I really would like to see real thinking machines that operate like human brains (but without the fuzziness). That would be quite an achievement and I'll probably be dead long before it happens. So, I'll just enjoy the brain I have while I can.
Realistically, I can see robots becoming the 'next PC' (i.e. commonplace and useful). I'd definitely like to see more home automation. In that regard, our home lives haven't changed much since the 50s.
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